Professor’s Comments May 15, 2020 – A few Comments before today’s open

Posted by professor  at May 15th, 2020

After an initial decline from EXTREME oversold conditions, the Dow rallied to finish with a gain of 377 points, closing at 23,625. However, the large cap index still remains well below its close from three days ago.  Whenever a rally like the one we had yesterday occurs after back to back 90 percent down days, it usually leads to a resumption of the downtrend the following day.  So, we’ll need to pay attention to the short-term indicators today because if the Dow starts off to the downside, the odds are high it will continue in that direction.  The average loss after a retracement rally from two back-to back 90 percent down days can be large, exceeding 2 percent.

The Model Portfolio is being shown for educational purposed only.  The Buy/Sell actions in the Model Portfolio are made based on technical indicators that can and do change frequently and should NOT be considered as recommendations for trading an actual portfolio.  Any gain or loss in the Model Portfolio should not be used to predict future performance of the Model.

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